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SpaceX’s Elon Musk is going into the carbon capture business

SpaceX’s Elon Musk is going into the carbon capture business

SpaceX and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who is Time magazine’s current Person of the Year, is often accused of neglecting problems on Earth in favor of conducting his private space program. The accusation is unfair on a number of levels. After all, Musk also runs an electric car company. Now, the space entrepreneur has announced on Twitter a new initiative that may prove flying into space could also benefit the Earth.

“SpaceX is starting a program to take CO2 out of atmosphere & turn it into rocket fuel. Please join if interested,” he tweeted.

Human-caused climate change, created by the emission of greenhouse gasses such as carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, is an obsession with many both in government and in the media. Musk’s proposal has interesting implications for the issue and the accusations that he wants to abandon Earth to go live on Mars. The project will not only help alleviate climate change on Earth but will be instrumental to Musk’s desire to build a settlement on Mars.

Making rocket fuel with CO2 is the easy part of the proposal. A century-old process invented by a Nobel Prize-winning chemist named Paul Sabatier combines CO2 with hydrogen and a catalyst to create methane and water. Musk’s rocket being developed by SpaceX in Boca Chica, Texas uses engines that burn liquid methane and liquid oxygen. NASA uses the Sabatier system on the International Space Station (ISS) to create water for the crew. The methane is vented from the ISS.

The first part of Musk’s plan, sucking CO2 out of the atmosphere, is likely to be more challenging. The idea that carbon capture from the air would reduce the Earth’s greenhouse gasses and thus alleviate climate change is a controversial one. One such project, reported by Techcrunch, is being conducted by a company called Climeworks in Iceland. Thus far, the company spends between $600 and $800 to remove a ton of carbon dioxide, which is considered prohibitively expensive. Climeworks wants to reduce the cost to between $100 and $200 a metric ton (also known as tonne) to make the project more economically feasible.

Another form of carbon capture involves sequestering CO2 directly from power plants. Indeed, NET Power has a pilot plant a few hours’ drive away from Boca Chica in La Porte, Texas. It burns natural gas but saves and store the CO2 emissions. Could Musk buy the CO2 he needs from the NET plant or a similar source? Perhaps, but ever the environmentalist, the Musk might be reluctant to ship the gas to Boca Chica by diesel-fueled tanker truck. Would Tesla be interested in developing an electric-powered tanker truck?

In any case, Musk is interested in developing both the carbon capture from the air and the Sabatier technologies for his planned Mars settlement. The idea is to capture CO2 from the Martian atmosphere, hydrogen from water ice, and then convert them to rocket fuel for spacecraft headed back to Earth from the Red Planet.

Musk has funded a $100 million X-Prize to encourage development of carbon capture technologies, noting that “to win the grand prize, teams must demonstrate a working solution at a scale of at least 1000 tonnes removed per year; model their costs at a scale of 1 million tonnes per year; and show a pathway to achieving a scale of gigatonnes per year in future.”

If and when a direct air capture solution is achieved, a win-win result will have been achieved. Human civilization will have available one or more technologies that will go a long way toward solving the climate crisis. Musk will have a source of CO2 to make his own rocket fuel and continue pursuing his grand design to build a Mars settlement, not to mention taking humans back to the moon and a number of other goals.

A rocket whose engines burn liquid methane and liquid oxygen will create water and CO2 in its exhaust. But a world that has technology that can capture carbon from the atmosphere will likely be more than able to handle the situation.

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) has denounced carbon capture as a “false solution.” But the delicious irony is that while Green New Dealers concoct schemes to deal with climate change that involve destroying the fossil fuels industry, billionaire capitalists such as Musk are developing solutions that do not involve such a wrenching, economic calamity. Musk and people like him are more likely to succeed where politicians and activists are certain to fail. Musk promises to save the Earth and go to Mars.

Mark R. Whittington is the author of space exploration studies “Why is It So Hard to Go Back to the Moon?” as well as “The Moon, Mars and Beyond,” and “Why is America Going Back to the Moon?” He blogs at Curmudgeons Corner.

 


 

Source The Hill

Elon Musk just bought $100 million in publicity for the carbon capture industry

Elon Musk just bought $100 million in publicity for the carbon capture industry

There is no way to stabilize the world’s temperature without an aggressive plan to pull carbon out of the atmosphere. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change estimates than more than 3 to 7 gigatons (GT) of CO2 will need to be removed per year by 2050—up to 15 GT by the end of the century—to limit warming to 1.5° C. That’s akin to “running the fossil fuel industry in reverse,” says Rob Jackson, an earth system science professor at Stanford University who leads the Global Carbon Project.

While plenty of technology exists to extract and sequester CO2, ranging from biofuels to direct air capture, none have been scaled up commercially.

On Jan. 21, Elon Musk fired up the climate community by offering a $100 million prize (about .05% of his estimated net worth) to any team that comes up with the best way to capture carbon. It’s a small but meaningful addition to the $4 billion committed to such projects in 2020. Details are reportedly coming this week.

 

 

Musk, by offering the prize, joins a long line of governments, industrialists, and charities seeking to inspire new technologies over the past 500 years. Recently, the MacArthur Foundation put up $100 million for proposals promising “real and measurable progress in solving a critical problem of our time.” The Breakthrough Initiative extended two $100 million prizes searching for signs of alien life or demonstrating a fleet of spacecraft that can reach the Alpha Centauri system, our closest celestial neighbor at about four light-years away.

Some prizes appear to have worked: Since the 16th century, vaccines, lifeboats, and a method to calculate longitude at sea all emerged from prize competitions, according to Fiona Murray, a professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management.

But are prizes a good way to develop real-world solutions?

Here the evidence is shakier. The Virgin Earth Challenge, a $25 million prize sponsored by billionaire Richard Branson in 2007, failed to produce its objective of commercially viable CO2 removal technology, despite 10,000 entrants. Similarly, Google’s $30 million Lunar X-Prize failed to reach its moon landing after a decade.

In her book Inventing Ideas: Patents, Prizes, and the Knowledge Economy, Zorina Kahn analyzed 60,000 prize competitions over the past few centuries, and found that innovation prizes don’t typically result in scalable technologies that succeed in the marketplace. “The arbitrary nature of judging is a theme that reoccurs in all prize systems,” writes Kahn, a professor of economics at Bowdoin College and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Part of the problem is that “the best” in a competition is determined by the award’s administrator, rather than the market or society in general. “Even the most dedicated and knowledgeable panel are unlikely to be able to predict what will be the most appropriate technologies and how that will change over time,” Kahn writes. “Successful solutions are often associated with numerous incremental inventions and seemingly disparate discoveries rather than ‘THE best’ technology. The most efficient solution might be as simple as planting more trees or policies to prevent deforestation.”

 

All publicity is good publicity

The final product may not always be the point, and competitions that fail to produce the desired technology can still succeed at generating enthusiasm and ideas. At MIT, Murray researched the $10 million Progressive Insurance Automotive X-Prize in late 2009 to build a clean-energy passenger vehicle with a range equivalent to 100 miles per gallon. She found that, like most of today’s competitions, the prize was designed to “maximize effort, not efficiency.”

The competition attracted participants from diverse communities including race enthusiasts, startups, universities, large corporations, high schools, and even solo entrepreneurs. None led to a company like Tesla, but “if you’re not quite sure what the solution should look like and you want to focus attention on something,” says Murray, “then you actually don’t mind the fact that lots of people are turning up and coming with novel ideas.”

Scandinavian researchers arrived at a similar conclusion after studying such competitions in Finland. As a matter of innovation policy, the awards delivered “mediocre or modest” results, but they proved excellent at delivering something else: media coverage and credibility. That, ultimately, is what drove participants: “The motives to enter award competitions are largely non-monetary,” the paper argues.

Today, carbon capture and storage need both more attention and more scalable innovations. The technology has languished for decades as mega-projects, such as the $1 billion Petra Nova “clean coal” plant and the $7.5 billion Kemper Project in Mississippi, proved too costly or unwieldy. The number of such facilities fell from a high of 77 in 2010 to just 37 in 2017.

In the last four years, more than 30 new projects have been announced, according to the Energy Information Administration, which would triple today’s global CO2 capture capacity to about 130 million tons per year if constructed, less than 1% of what’s needed by mid-century. To scale up the industry, the price of capture carbon (around $600 per ton) must come way down, and hundreds of billions of dollars in new investment will be needed.

Musk’s prize-winner may not produce the next Tesla of carbon capture and storage. But it could inspire the attention and excitement of someone who does.

 


 

By Michael J. Coren

Source Quartz

Giant Tesla Solar Roofs: Jaw dropping video gets response from Elon Musk

Giant Tesla Solar Roofs: Jaw dropping video gets response from Elon Musk

A real estate developer in Florida has unveiled what he claims is the state’s largest Tesla Solar Roof install — and it’s earned the praise of Elon Musk.

The ChoZen Retreat, an environment-focused resort on the 22,000 acre Saint Sebastian nature preserve, is graced by a staggering 44-kilowatt Solar Roof. It harnesses several times more energy than the average installation — house roofs are normally below 10 kilowatts — yet the gargantuan roof only covers around 80 percent of the resort’s energy usage.

 

“One of the best Tesla Solar Roof installations,” Tesla CEO Elon Musk wrote on his Twitter page Saturday.

 

It’s an impressive display for Tesla’s roof product, unveiled as part of a “house of the future” in October 2016. At the event, Musk explained how the tiles could pair with a Tesla Model 3 electric car and Powerwall battery to offer complete zero-emissions energy usage for a household. The solar-harvesting tiles are designed to blend in with non-solar dummy tiles, making it look like a standard roof to the untrained eye.

Tony Cho, the founder of real estate development firm Metro 1, shared a video of the Solar Roof project via his Twitter page on December 30. Watch the aerial flyover video below:

 

“I just installed the largest (44KW) solar roof in Florida,” Cho wrote. “Thank you [Elon Musk] for creating this game-changing product! Everyone should have one and now the 26 percent fed tax credit has just been extended!”

The video explains the installation uses nearly 800 panels to harvest DC electricity. This is channeled to inverters to convert it to AC electricity, which is then fed into Powerwall batteries. These are used to ensure the site runs from clean energy even when the Sun’s not shining. A Tesla underlay is used to protect the panels from morning dew and humidity.

ChoZen Retreat, the video claims, is the first center of its kind to receive a Tesla Solar Roof. It’s also the first home in Indian River County, Florida to receive the roof. It is the 26th home in the state of Florida.

The roof far outranks other projects done on regular houses. Amanda Tobler, one of the first to get a Solar Roof in spring 2018, told Inverse at the time that her 9.85-kilowatt system was the largest Tesla could install at that time. Her 2,000-square-foot roof consisted of around 40 percent solar tiles, the rest dummy tiles.

Tesla’s product has changed a lot since those early installs. In October 2019, Musk unveiled the third-generation tiles designed for faster and cheaper installs. While the older roofs rolled out at a slow pace, Musk said the company was aiming for 1,000 roofs per week, eventually installing a roof in just eight hours. A timelapse video in October 2020 showed the roof being installed on one house in just four days.

How much was Cho’s install?

“Not much more than a traditional roof with solar,” he wrote on Twitter.

 

THE INVERSE ANALYSIS — Cho’s roof is an impressive display of a product that is gradually rolling out to homes. It also acts as a symbol of how Tesla is aiming for more than just electric cars.

The actual price of the new install is unclear. Cho claims the roof cost just a bit more than a regular roof plus solar panels, but Musk claimed at the roof’s October 2019 unveiling the new tiles would cost “less than what the average roof costs plus solar panels” in “80 percent” of cases. Cho’s mega-install may be something of an outlier, perhaps understandable considering the project’s sheer scale.

But even if few customers buy the Solar Roof — you’d need to be buying a roof for the cost to make sense — it could still serve a useful purpose. At the company’s Battery Day in September 2020, Musk unveiled a plan to produce enough batteries to transition the world onto clean energy. As Musk aims to grow the energy side of the business from around seven percent to 50 percent of revenue long-term, projects like Cho’s mega-roof seem an eye-catching way to communicate how Tesla wants to transition all energy usage to clean sources.

 


 

Source Inverse